Will My Auto Insurance Premiums Go Down With No-Fault?

One of the Alberta government’s main arguments for introducing no-fault auto insurance (effective January 1, 2027) is that it will help reduce the cost of insurance for drivers. But whether premiums will actually go down — and stay down — is less certain.


The Government’s Position

  • The government has stated that no-fault will:
    • Lower overall premiums
    • Make pricing more predictable for drivers
    • Reduce the cost of lengthy lawsuits

The promise is that savings from eliminating most lawsuits will be passed on to consumers.


What Other Provinces Have Experienced

  • Ontario: Introduced partial no-fault. While lawsuits dropped, insurance premiums remain among the highest in Canada.
  • Saskatchewan & Manitoba: Public no-fault systems provide stability, but drivers still pay higher-than-expected premiums compared to what was originally promised.
  • BC: After moving to no-fault, some drivers saw modest reductions, but long-term costs have continued to rise due to inflation and insurer expenses.

The takeaway: No-fault may stabilize insurance rates, but deep or lasting premium cuts are far from guaranteed.


Why Premiums Might Not Decrease as Promised

  • Insurer costs: Insurance companies still manage medical, rehab, and income replacement benefits, which can be expensive.
  • Inflation: Medical care and vehicle repair costs continue to rise.
  • Profit margins: There’s no guarantee that insurers will pass savings from fewer lawsuits directly on to consumers.

What This Means for Albertans

  • Some drivers may see a short-term reduction in premiums when no-fault is introduced.
  • Over time, costs could creep back up, as has been seen in other provinces.
  • The biggest impact of no-fault will be felt not in premiums but in the reduced rights of accident victims, not necessarily in dramatically lower costs.

Key Takeaway:
While Alberta’s government promises lower auto insurance premiums under no-fault, experience in other provinces shows that any savings may be modest and temporary. What’s certain is that accident victims will lose significant rights to sue for full compensation.